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srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8727.png 677w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8727-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 677px) 100vw, 677px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br>\u7c73\u56fd\u56fd\u6c11\u6240\u5f97\u306b\u5360\u3081\u308b\u4f01\u696d\u5229\u76ca\u3068\u96c7\u7528\u8005\u5831\u916c\u306e\u5272\u5408<br>\u51fa\u6240\uff1aFRB\u3001NBER\u3001\u30af\u30ec\u30c7\u30a3\u30fb\u30a2\u30b0\u30ea\u30b3\u30eb\u8a3c\u5238<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p 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class=\"wp-image-548\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8729.png 671w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8729-300x163.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 671px) 100vw, 671px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br>\u7c73\u56fd\u5bb6\u8a08\u7d14\u8cc7\u7523\u3068FF\u91d1\u5229\u63a8\u8a08\u5024<br>FF\u91d1\u5229\uff1d\uff0d14.5\uff0b0.07\u52b4\u50cd\u5206\u914d\u7387\uff08\uff05\uff09\uff0b0.38 \u5bb6\u8a08\u7d14\u8cc7\u7523\uff08\u4e0b\u4f4d90\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u306e\u5272\u5408\uff09\uff0b0.42\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\uff08PCE\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u30682\uff05\u306e\u5dee\uff09\uff1bR2\uff1d0.46<br>\u51fa\u6240\uff1aFRB\u3001NBER\u3001\u30af\u30ec\u30c7\u30a3\u30fb\u30a2\u30b0\u30ea\u30b3\u30eb\u8a3c\u5238<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"437\" src=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8724-1-1024x437.png\" class=\"wp-image-546\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8724-1-1024x437.png 1024w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8724-1-300x128.png 300w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8724-1-768x328.png 768w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8724-1.png 1222w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u79cb\u306e\u81e8\u6642\u56fd\u4f1a\u306e\u53ec\u96c6\u304c10\u6708\u4e0a\u65ec\u307e\u3067\u5ef6\u671f\u3055\u308c\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30019\u6708\u306e\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u7a93\u304c\u958b\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u6b21\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u3092\u3001\u6765\u5e741\u6708\u304b\u3089\u3053\u306e9\u6708\u306b\u524d\u5012\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6765\u5e741\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306f\u56db\u534a\u671f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u4e00\u5ea6\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u534a\u5e74\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u4e00\u56de\u306e\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u306b\u623b\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u62d9\u901f\u306a\u52a0\u901f\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9ad8\u5e02\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u65e5\u672c\u7d4c\u6e08\u518d\u751f\u3092\u7d4c\u3066\u30012029\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306f2.5\uff05\u306e\u30bf\u30fc\u30df\u30ca\u30eb\u306b\u9054\u3059\u308b\u4e88\u60f3\u306b\u5909\u66f4\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u62d9\u901f\u306a\u52a0\u901f\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp; *&nbsp; &nbsp;\u653f\u5e9c\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u6210\u9577\u6226\u7565\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u300c\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u306f\uff10\uff05\u8fd1\u508d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u306f\u5341\u5206\u306b\u5f37\u304f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u3084\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u696d\u307e\u3067\u666f\u6c17\u56de\u5fa9\u306e\u5b9f\u611f\u306f\u307e\u3060\u5e83\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u6210\u9577\u306e\u679c\u5b9f\u304c\u4e00\u90e8\u306e\u9ad8\u6240\u5f97\u5c64\u3084\u5927\u4f01\u696d\u3001\u90fd\u5e02\u90e8\u306b\u504f\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6240\u5f97\u8005\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u696d\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u306b\u307e\u3067\u5e83\u304f\u884c\u304d\u6e21\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u6295\u8cc7\u3092\u5168\u56fd\u306b\u62e1\u3052\u3001\u5730\u57df\u306e\u7523\u696d\u30fb\u96c7\u7528\u30fb\u6240\u5f97\u3092\u5e95\u4e0a\u3052\u3057\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u300d\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"972\" height=\"499\" src=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8726.png\" class=\"wp-image-545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8726.png 972w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8726-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8726-768x394.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 972px) 100vw, 972px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><br>\u4f01\u696d\u8caf\u84c4\u7387\u3068\u5185\u95a3\u5e9c\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7<br>\u6ce8\uff1aGDP\u306e\u57fa\u6e96\u6539\u5b9a\u306b\u4f34\u3044\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u671f\u3092\u542b\u30801995\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u306f+5\u3092\u4e0a\u4e57\u305b<br>\u51fa\u6240\uff1a\u65e5\u9280\u3001\u5185\u95a3\u5e9c\u3001\u30af\u30ec\u30c7\u30a3\u30fb\u30a2\u30b0\u30ea\u30b3\u30eb\u8a3c\u5238<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">4\uff0d6\u6708\u671f\u306b\uff0b0.7\uff05\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u3092\u3001\u5b98\u6c11\u9023\u643a\u306e\u6226\u7565\u6295\u8cc7\u3068\u7523\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6295\u8cc7\u9700\u8981\u306e\u62e1\u5927\u3067\u66f4\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u56de\u5fa9\u306e\u679c\u5b9f\u3092\u56fd\u6c11\u306b\u5c4a\u3051\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d70\uff05\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5f31\u3044\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u8ffd\u3044\u4ed8\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u56de\u5fa9\u306f\u5341\u5206\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d70\uff05\u3092\u57fa\u6e96\u3068\u3059\u308b\u904e\u5ea6\u306a\u7dca\u7e2e\u5fd7\u5411\u3092\u65ad\u3061\u5207\u308d\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br>&nbsp; *&nbsp; &nbsp;\u30d0\u30e9\u30de\u30ad\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u9700\u8981\u306e\u62e1\u5927\u306b\u3088\u308b\u9700\u7d66\u30ae\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u4f9b\u7d66\u80fd\u529b\u3092\u62e1\u5927\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u9ad8\u5e02\u653f\u6a29\u3067\u521d\u306e\u9aa8\u592a\u306e\u65b9\u91dd\u3067\u793a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u300c\uff12\uff05\u306e\u7269\u4fa1\u5b89\u5b9a\u76ee\u6a19\u306e\u5b9f\u73fe\u306e\u4e0b\u3067\u3001\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u3051\u65e9\u671f\u306b\u3001\u5b9f\u8cea\u3067\uff11\uff05\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308b\u3001\u540d\u76ee\u3067\uff13\uff05\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308b\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u3092\u5b9a\u7740\u3055\u305b\u3001\u66f4\u306b\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3002\u300d\u3053\u3068\u306e\u5b9f\u73fe\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308b\u3002\u65e5\u9280\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u300c\u300c\u7d4c\u6e08\u8ca1\u653f\u904b\u55b6\u306f\u300c\u5f37\u3044\u7d4c\u6e08\u300d\u306e\u5b9f\u73fe\u3092\u76ee\u6307\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3082\u300c\u5b89\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u300d\u306e\u5b9f\u73fe\u306b\u8cc7\u3059\u308b\u9069\u5207\u306a\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u904b\u55b6\u3092\u4f34\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u6cd5\u7b2c\uff14\u6761\u53ca\u3073\u653f\u5e9c\u30fb\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u306e\u5171\u540c\u58f0\u660e\u306e\u8da3\u65e8\u306b\u6cbf\u3063\u3066\u653f\u5e9c\u3068\u7dca\u5bc6\u306b\u9023\u643a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u671f\u5f85\u3059\u308b\u3002 \u300d\u3068\u3057\u3001\u300c\u300c\u5f37\u3044\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u3068\u5b89\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u4e21\u7acb\u300d\u306e\u30c7\u30e5\u30a2\u30eb\u30fb\u30de\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp; *&nbsp; &nbsp;\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u5c55\u671b\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u30012\uff05\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u306e\u5b89\u5b9a\u306e\u4e0b\u3001\u5b9f\u8ceaGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u304c0\uff05\u53f0\u5f8c\u534a\u3067\u5f31\u3044\u3002\u3053\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u30679\u6708\u306b\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u8e0f\u307f\u5207\u308a\u3001\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u3092\u534a\u5e74\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u4e00\u56de\u304b\u3089\u56db\u534a\u671f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u4e00\u56de\u306b\u62d9\u901f\u306b\u52a0\u901f\u3055\u305b\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5b9f\u8ceaGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306f\u76ee\u5148\uff10\uff05\u53f0\u534a\u3070\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306a\u307f\u306b\u6291\u5236\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"514\" height=\"189\" src=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8728.png\" class=\"wp-image-550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8728.png 514w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8728-300x110.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 514px) 100vw, 514px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CACIB\u306e\u5b9f\u8ceaGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e2027\u5e74\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3082\u3001\uff0b0.8\uff05\u304b\u3089\u6f5c\u5728\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306a\u307f\u306b\u4e0b\u65b9\u4fee\u6b63\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u62d9\u901f\u306a\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u3068\u3082\u306a\u3044\u3001\u5b9f\u8ceaGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f2025\u5e74\u306e\uff0b1.2\uff05\u30012026\u5e74\u306e\uff0b0.8\uff05\u30012027\u5e74\u306e0\uff05\u53f0\u534a\u3070\u3068\u6e1b\u901f\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u5b9f\u8ceaGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e1\uff05\u53f0\u3078\u306e\u5230\u9054\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u6210\u9577\u6226\u7565\u3068\u9aa8\u592a\u306e\u65b9\u91dd\u304c\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u308b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e88\u7b97\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3001\u5b98\u6c11\u9023\u643a\u3068\u306e\u6226\u7565\u6295\u8cc7\u3068\u7523\u696d\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u63a8\u9032\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u5f85\u3064\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"549\" height=\"245\" src=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8725-2.png\" class=\"wp-image-549\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8725-2.png 549w, https:\/\/mobydicktrading.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/img_8725-2-300x134.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 549px) 100vw, 549px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"p1 wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5c02\u9580\u7528\u8a9e\u89e3\u8aac<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"p2 wp-block-paragraph\">\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u8005\u6570<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"p3 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